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2004-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Alabama A&M Bulldogs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% -
Bradley-Terry 8.5% 91.5% -
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +19.8 (3.2 off)

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks +23 (85-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Martin 40 5-11 0-2 7-9 4 1 0 0 3 17 8 -
A. Matthews 32 3-5 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
O. Trotter 28 4-9 0-2 2-3 5 5 0 1 1 10 11 -
M. Young 20 0-2 0-2 4-5 0 0 2 0 1 4 3 -
Galen Gardenhire 18 5-12 4-10 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 17 8 -
R. Ricketts 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
M. Jones 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Collins 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
B. Neloms 6 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
K. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Ogbara 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
R. Vilcean 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Porter 39 2-9 2-7 2-2 6 3 2 0 2 8 8 -
M. Clark 34 7-11 3-4 2-3 6 3 0 0 3 19 14 -
A. Paez 31 11-17 2-4 5-6 7 0 1 2 2 29 20 -
L. Brown 28 2-3 0-0 4-4 2 4 0 0 2 8 9 -
T. Moore 24 3-6 0-0 4-4 4 2 0 0 4 10 6 -
K. Brady 16 3-4 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 1 9 12 -
P. Hannaway 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
J. Thomas 8 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 2 3 -
C. Gallon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Weaver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Cheves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter