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2004-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 6.1% 93.9% -
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.3 (14.7 off)

Actual: SMU Mustangs +37 (87-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gunter 29 3-8 0-0 5-7 8 1 0 2 2 11 12 -
T. Brown 29 5-12 1-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 6 13 0 -
J. Harris 24 2-8 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
M. Coleman 21 2-5 1-3 1-1 2 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
J. Bibles 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 2 -1 -
L. Williams 20 1-3 0-1 0-1 3 0 1 1 4 2 0 -
V. Young 15 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 2 5 -
B. Culp 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
W. Byrd 13 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 0 0 -
J. Frierson 13 1-3 0-0 0-1 2 2 2 0 6 2 -1 -
C. Lee 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hopkins 26 9-15 8-11 6-6 4 4 2 0 0 32 27 -
J. Isham 25 2-7 0-0 6-8 2 2 4 0 1 10 10 -
D. Roberts 24 1-7 0-0 2-2 0 5 1 0 0 4 3 -
E. Castro 22 6-9 0-0 2-5 7 1 2 0 1 14 14 -
P. Simpson 21 4-8 0-0 3-3 8 2 1 0 2 11 12 -
J. Killen 17 2-5 1-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
I. Ofoegbu 16 1-7 0-1 1-2 2 0 2 0 0 3 0 -
D. Pearson 15 2-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 3 1 0 4 10 -
M. Dement 10 0-5 0-5 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -4 -
J. Knowles 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 0 4 -
P. Ritter 8 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
R. Hopkins 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter