Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 100.0% | 0.0% | -46.8 | ✗ (67.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Farr | 34 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Seyfert | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 8 | - |
| K. Criswell | 26 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A. Strait | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Martin | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Dlouhy | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Easley | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| V. Matthews | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Lynch | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. McKay | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gaines | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Cox | 29 | 6-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| T. Riley | 26 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Gumbs | 26 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| D. Ingerson | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Dukes | 19 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| A. Wiggins Jr. | 17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Pierce | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Barnes | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Czerny | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Bell | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter