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2004-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Georgia State Panthers Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Spread Result
Elo 19.8% 80.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Margin 5.2% 94.8% +16.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 2.5% 97.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“

Actual: Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns +17 (67-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Thomas 32 5-12 3-6 0-2 7 0 1 0 1 13 8 -
M. Brown 29 5-11 2-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 14 4 -
H. Favors 24 1-9 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 3 -2 -
K. Becken 24 3-8 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 5 7 0 -
D. Dickerson 20 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 1 1 5 6 -
M. Manier 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Morgan 17 2-5 0-0 4-5 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
T. Barnett 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 4 -
J. Billingslea 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
E. Morris 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Wade 39 6-15 1-5 5-6 10 2 1 0 3 18 13 -
D. Mitchell 34 5-9 0-0 5-6 3 5 1 1 5 15 11 -
B. Hamilton 30 4-9 0-0 3-4 12 1 3 1 3 11 16 -
C. Cameron 24 1-6 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Ford 22 2-3 0-0 2-3 8 2 1 0 0 6 14 -
R. Mouton 22 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 10 4 -
A. Rhodman 12 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 1 2 -
D. Gray 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
A. James 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Fobbs 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter