Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +11 (98-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gardner | 41 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| M. Giovacchini | 40 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| M. Lang | 39 | 12-17 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 15 | - |
| M. McLaren | 31 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Ball | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Hammick | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Flynn | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Cuttica | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| B. McMillan | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Moore | 43 | 11-19 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 12 | - |
| F. Abdelsamad | 40 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 39 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| R. Marentez | 37 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | - |
| M. Butts | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Stearns | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter