Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +27.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +37 (93-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Oppland | 31 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| R. Howard | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Miles | 28 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Mbaye | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| S. Colclasure | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Loyd | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| A. Williams | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| V. Humphrey | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Kent | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Mullen | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Hooper | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Head | 29 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Williams | 28 | 7-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Brown | 27 | 7-8 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| J. Augustine | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Powell | 19 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| W. Carter | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Ingram | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nick Smith | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. McBride | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Pruitt | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| F. Nkemdi | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter