Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | +8.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +19.9 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats +16 (81-65). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jermaine Wallace | 26 | 1-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7 | - |
| Keenan Jones | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Clifton Lee | 22 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Ross | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Tyronn Mitchell | 20 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Bargeman | 20 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Dyer | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Hancock | 16 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Allen | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Demetrius Bell | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| G. Tyer | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Spencer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Hancock | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Maxiell | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | - |
| A. Kirkland | 25 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| James White | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Eric Hicks | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| N. Williams | 22 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Muhammad | 21 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jamaal Lucas | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Moore | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Bright | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Meeker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Patzwald | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Murray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Souleymane | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter