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2004-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 69.6% 30.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% -
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% -
Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% -
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris * 40 5-16 3-7 4-4 4 1 1 1 3 17 5 -
R. Coleman * 33 5-7 3-5 0-0 7 5 0 0 2 13 16 -
C. Hunter * 29 8-15 1-4 4-4 0 0 1 0 1 21 6 -
C. Sims * 29 7-12 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 3 17 10 -
S. Harrell * 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Andrews 27 1-5 0-2 5-6 4 4 0 0 5 7 5 -
B. Petway 17 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
J.C. Mathis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Bell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farmar * 35 2-6 1-2 6-8 0 9 0 0 2 11 12 -
A. Afflalo * 34 3-6 1-2 2-2 5 2 0 0 4 9 6 -
J. Shipp * 32 2-4 1-3 0-1 3 1 3 0 1 5 7 -
R. Hollins * 17 2-2 0-0 5-5 2 0 0 0 4 9 5 -
M. Fey * 16 2-3 0-0 4-7 1 1 0 1 0 8 8 -
D. Thompson 28 12-14 3-4 2-3 10 1 1 0 2 29 25 -
Brian Morrison 16 1-5 0-3 0-1 0 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -
L. Mata-Real 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. McKinney 6 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
J. Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Rubin 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter