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2004-12-14

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 26.6% 73.4% +5.6 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.5% 66.5% -
Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Log Adjusted 9.0% 91.0% -

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -12 (58-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Fitzgerald 38 6-13 5-10 0-0 6 5 1 0 3 17 13 -
R. Schraeder 32 2-8 2-6 8-8 3 5 0 0 2 14 12 -
J. Gloger 25 3-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
G. Ethington 23 7-11 0-0 0-1 9 1 2 2 2 14 15 -
N. Campbell 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
D. Fells 21 3-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 2 1 1 6 7 -
P. Sanders 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 2 -
A. Metelski 17 2-4 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 0 0 7 10 -
S. Armstrong 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Baker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Perkins 37 4-15 0-4 5-7 11 3 2 1 3 13 12 -
K. Bailey 35 5-18 3-11 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 13 1 -
E. Rohde 25 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
T. Niesen 24 2-10 0-0 4-5 4 0 1 0 2 8 1 -
B. Angley 21 2-6 1-3 1-3 3 3 1 0 2 6 5 -
J. Legge 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
T. Parham 19 4-9 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 1 8 3 -
S. Borchart 11 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 1 5 -
M. Henke 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Dougherty 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter