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2004-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Fordham Rams Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 6.8% 93.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.4% 89.6% - โœ“
Margin 1.7% 98.3% +22.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 30.6% 69.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.3% 86.7% - โœ“

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +21 (68-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Dunston 37 4-13 0-0 1-3 7 2 2 4 1 9 10 -
J. Anderson 30 3-8 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 0 -
B. Hall 30 1-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 2 0 5 4 3 -
K. Anderson 28 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 4 4 1 -
M. Stout 26 1-7 0-3 6-6 0 1 0 0 2 8 0 -
S. Greene 15 4-6 2-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 11 7 -
D. Osei 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
D. Breland 12 0-1 0-1 2-4 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
M. Binns 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3 -
N. Vita 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Sumpter 35 8-16 2-4 2-2 11 1 0 0 0 20 16 -
R. Foye 34 7-17 1-4 2-3 9 4 3 0 3 17 13 -
W. Sheridan 29 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 1 2 5 9 -
M. Nardi 28 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 5 2 -
A. Ray 22 2-4 1-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. Fraser 22 5-7 0-0 2-3 7 2 0 4 1 12 17 -
M. Austin 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 3 2 0 -
C. Charles 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
T. Grace 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter