Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Adjiwanou | 35 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 13 | - |
| H. Qedan | 35 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 21 | - |
| J. Sanders | 29 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| J. Walberg | 27 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Marigney | 23 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| D. Kickert | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| B. Collins | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Sholberg | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | - |
| M. Slaughter | 35 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 9-14 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| J. Sharper | 35 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Camara | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Manker | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| B. Hudson | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Hanour | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Smith | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter