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2004-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 (9.9 off)
Efficiency 93.0% 7.0% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs -9 (64-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Adjiwanou 35 5-8 2-5 9-10 3 0 2 2 7 21 13 -
H. Qedan 35 8-11 2-4 6-7 3 6 3 0 4 24 21 -
J. Sanders 29 1-3 1-2 0-0 10 2 0 1 2 3 11 -
J. Walberg 27 0-4 0-4 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 0 3 -
P. Marigney 23 6-10 3-4 2-2 2 0 2 0 3 17 8 -
D. Kickert 22 1-5 0-1 1-3 7 2 0 1 1 3 7 -
B. Collins 18 1-4 0-3 1-2 2 2 3 0 1 3 5 -
B. Sholberg 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. LeSure 38 5-13 1-3 9-10 1 1 4 0 3 20 10 -
M. Slaughter 35 3-6 0-1 9-14 8 0 3 0 3 15 17 -
J. Sharper 35 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 0 -
M. Thomas 32 3-10 0-2 4-5 7 0 1 0 1 10 7 -
M. Camara 21 1-4 0-0 0-2 1 1 2 0 2 2 0 -
C. Manker 12 2-4 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
B. Hudson 10 2-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
T. Johnson 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Travis Hanour 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
T. Smith 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter