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2004-12-12

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 59.9% 40.1% -
Bradley-Terry 32.8% 67.2% -
Margin 25.0% 75.0% +6.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 65.3% 34.7% -
Efficiency 92.5% 7.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% -
Log Adjusted 30.5% 69.5% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +14 (65-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Isham 37 5-14 0-1 1-3 2 3 1 0 0 11 3 -
B. Hopkins 36 3-14 1-8 1-5 3 1 1 0 4 8 -5 -
P. Simpson 34 5-11 0-0 4-5 10 2 1 3 4 14 15 -
E. Castro 29 5-8 0-0 2-3 13 2 0 0 6 12 13 -
D. Roberts 27 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 4 -1 -
J. Killen 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 0 5 -
D. Pearson 14 1-6 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 1 0 2 7 -
J. Knowles 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
I. Ofoegbu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Murry 34 5-10 3-3 4-4 6 0 2 0 0 17 15 -
Marcus Shropshire 25 2-7 1-4 2-2 6 5 1 0 1 7 11 -
F. Ibikunle 24 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 1 2 3 6 -
M. Sloan 22 4-8 0-0 3-5 8 1 1 1 4 11 10 -
J. Stubbs 22 0-2 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 3 3 1 -
C. Santee 22 7-11 3-6 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 18 9 -
B. Reese-Hackett 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 3 2 -
A. Curtis 13 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 4 1 2 2 2 -
A. Pierce 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
N. Owens 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
N. Dougherty 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Adams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Valsin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter