Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.6% | 33.4% | -3.8 | ✗ (12.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +9 (98-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Bailey | 37 | 11-22 | 5-13 | 2-2 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 29 | - |
| D. Perkins | 31 | 5-22 | 2-9 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | -3 | - |
| T. Niesen | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| B. Angley | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Parham | 24 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Rohde | 22 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| S. Borchart | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| S. Dougherty | 10 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Henke | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Neal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Whiten | 34 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 14 | - |
| F. Sampson | 29 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| P. Johnson | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| N. Enzweiler | 23 | 6-6 | 6-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 25 | - |
| T. McGinn | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Haskins | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mike Titchenal | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Finnegan | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| G. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Manley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter