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2004-12-12

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% -
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 76.1% 23.9% -
Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% -
Log Adjusted 85.1% 14.9% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers -4 (87-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Amundson 41 10-13 0-0 2-9 22 0 2 3 3 22 33 -
O. Blankson 38 9-18 1-4 3-6 10 0 0 1 2 22 13 -
J. Blassingame 35 6-17 2-9 6-6 4 6 0 0 2 20 11 -
A. Hannan 29 3-7 1-2 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 7 9 -
M. Umeh 24 2-6 0-3 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
T. Vaught 22 3-12 1-8 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 7 -4 -
D. Villepigue 16 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
J. Winston 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 0 -2 -
C. Terry 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
J. Anthony 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Brown 43 5-14 0-2 4-6 9 0 0 0 1 14 8 -
I. Young 43 7-20 4-11 7-7 3 5 2 1 2 25 14 -
N. Watson 42 6-14 4-10 0-2 7 2 3 1 3 16 12 -
T. Douglas 37 7-15 1-5 6-8 6 0 2 0 1 21 13 -
D. Hayles 27 2-3 0-1 2-4 2 3 1 0 2 6 7 -
F. Tolbert 15 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
L. Jackson 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
R. Daniel 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Gaines 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter