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2004-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans Missouri State Bears Spread Result
Elo 66.7% 33.3% -
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% -
Margin 13.2% 86.8% +10.3 (36.7 off)

Actual: Missouri State Bears +47 (110-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Baker 25 4-10 0-2 3-7 6 0 2 2 3 11 8 -
B. Dixon 20 2-7 2-4 0-2 1 2 2 0 4 6 0 -
S. James 20 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 0 -
R. Antoine 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
R. Damus 19 3-4 1-1 2-3 5 1 1 0 0 9 12 -
J. Huffman 17 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 1 3 1 0 6 6 -
R. Heck 17 4-8 3-5 1-1 3 0 0 1 1 12 7 -
L. Woodstock 16 1-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 3 0 -
A. Holmes 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 4 -
M. Piper 12 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Brandon 11 1-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
Z. Mathis 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 3 -

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Easley 30 4-9 0-0 3-3 8 5 2 0 1 11 16 -
A. Shavies 25 8-9 3-4 3-4 4 9 1 0 0 22 27 -
B. Ahearn 22 7-10 5-8 1-2 2 4 0 0 3 20 13 -
D. Thompson 21 5-8 2-3 0-0 3 3 2 0 2 12 10 -
J. Nicholson 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
Trevyor Fisher 16 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 4 5 -
T. Chaney 15 1-4 0-2 3-3 2 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
T. Maclin 15 5-5 0-0 2-5 5 1 1 1 3 12 12 -
D. Richards 15 3-5 0-0 4-4 7 0 1 1 1 10 13 -
N. Bilyeu 14 0-0 0-0 3-4 4 3 0 1 0 3 11 -
S. Frazier 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
D. Meyer 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter