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2004-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 3.8% 96.2% -
Bradley-Terry 17.2% 82.8% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% -
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% -
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Arthur-Williams 33 1-4 0-1 4-4 4 4 0 0 3 6 7 -
M. Nelson 32 7-9 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 17 13 -
M. Williams 27 3-8 0-0 2-2 1 4 0 0 0 8 5 -
J. Rakiecki 25 5-9 4-8 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 15 14 -
J. Smith 22 7-10 1-1 3-3 7 0 0 0 4 18 11 -
M. Morris 21 0-2 0-1 2-4 3 2 0 1 3 2 3 -
S. Creason 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 2 5 -
A. Patterson 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
P. Thomasson 10 0-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
S. Verwers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Teague * 39 7-19 6-15 3-3 6 1 1 0 2 23 10 -
B. McKnight * 37 4-12 1-4 1-3 5 6 3 1 1 10 12 -
G. Ware * 27 3-6 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 3 1 8 9 -
C. Landry * 25 4-8 0-2 8-12 6 0 3 0 1 16 16 -
X. Price 20 1-3 0-1 4-4 2 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
Andrew Ford 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 5 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Carroll 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
A. Liddell 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
B. Dillon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter