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2004-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% +1.5 โœ“ (6.5 off)
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% - โœ“
Margin 55.7% 44.3% -2.5 โœ— (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 73.7% 26.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 75.4% 24.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 54.0% 46.0% - โœ—

Actual: Morgan State Bears +8 (71-63). Ratings: 2004-05 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Turner 36 7-16 0-5 2-3 2 4 1 1 5 16 3 -
D. Dubois 33 6-10 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 1 3 14 11 -
J. Campbell 33 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 1 4 2 7 -
Chris Markwood 32 3-5 2-4 2-4 1 3 1 0 4 10 6 -
K. Reed 30 4-13 3-10 3-4 9 4 4 0 2 14 16 -
J. Jackson 18 2-5 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
C. Bruff 10 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -2 -
O. Ahvenniemi 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 4 2 1 -
Mark Flavin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Andrews 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 8 7 -
Christopher Grant 26 1-9 0-1 4-4 4 3 1 0 4 6 1 -
Ronald Timus 24 7-12 0-0 5-7 6 1 2 0 0 19 16 -
Karanvir Aujla 24 4-4 4-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 12 14 -
S. Brand 20 3-10 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 7 1 -
Alfonso Evans 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Timothy Mathis 14 3-6 0-1 2-2 2 2 4 0 1 8 9 -
T. Terrell 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 0 0 -
A. Lawler 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Timothy Berkley 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
M. Stuart 11 2-4 0-1 3-3 2 1 0 0 4 7 2 -
Christopher Warfield 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McIver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter