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2004-12-11

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Longwood Lancers Spread Result
Elo 77.1% 22.9% -
Bradley-Terry 69.7% 30.3% -
Margin 76.5% 23.5% -6.5 (8.5 off)

Actual: Longwood Lancers -15 (72-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Abdelsamad 37 6-13 4-9 2-2 7 3 1 0 0 18 16 -
P. Rasmussen 32 11-13 4-6 2-3 5 4 1 0 1 28 24 -
R. Moore 30 9-14 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 18 12 -
T. Juillerat 27 1-5 0-1 8-9 5 5 0 0 2 10 13 -
R. Marentez 25 1-5 0-2 5-7 0 1 1 0 2 7 2 -
R. Ehsan 16 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Stearns 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
A. Warmerdam 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Carlyle 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Butts 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Schwarz 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sumter 36 5-10 1-2 3-7 4 2 1 0 2 14 9 -
M. Jefferson 35 7-12 1-3 8-9 4 2 1 0 5 23 13 -
L. Barrett 33 3-11 0-2 2-2 9 4 1 0 2 8 9 -
K. Schneider 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 3 2 -
C. Kosmo 17 3-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 2 6 3 -
N. Ostergaard 17 1-1 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 2 5 6 -
H. Pistoljevic 15 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
D. Smith 13 1-1 0-0 3-3 4 0 0 1 2 5 7 -
B. Giles 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 6 -
W. Hager 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Boateng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter