Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.7% | 97.3% | +19.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +42 (85-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.