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2004-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 7.3% 92.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 37.8% 62.2% +2.7 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 23.7% 76.3% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +17 (83-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hairston 35 5-11 1-3 3-8 9 5 0 0 3 14 14 -
A. Brooks 29 2-5 1-3 2-2 0 2 0 0 6 7 -2 -
I. Crosswhite 28 1-6 0-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
B. Taylor 27 7-16 3-7 2-3 5 2 1 0 2 19 9 -
J. Kent 18 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 0 3 5 -
M. Platt 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 4 4 -
R. Schafer 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 4 3 -
B. Lincoln 13 2-6 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
K. Love 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
M. Leunen 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown * 36 5-8 1-3 2-3 5 5 3 1 1 13 18 -
D. Williams * 34 5-10 1-3 6-7 1 7 0 0 5 17 10 -
L. Head * 32 8-10 3-4 4-4 4 3 0 0 2 23 18 -
J. Augustine * 27 4-5 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 2 3 10 14 -
R. Powell * 23 4-7 1-1 3-4 6 2 2 2 1 12 16 -
R. McBride 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Nick Smith 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 1 2 3 -
J. Ingram 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 4 5 -
W. Carter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
S. Pruitt 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Nkemdi 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter