Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +16.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +30 (83-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Graber | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Z. Wright | 32 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. Freeman | 25 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -4 | - |
| Darius Eason | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| C. Willis | 20 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Richard Hardman | 19 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Muldrow | 19 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -2 | - |
| M. Pridgeon | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jacobs | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Korolev | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Knight | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Power | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Roberts | 29 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 10-15 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 23 | - |
| G. Ervin | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| W. Frazier | 21 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| O. Harper | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Slater | 16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| W. Morgan | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Campbell | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Boler | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Begley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. McTiller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter