Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies -21 (54-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.