Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.9% | 10.1% | -12.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -16 (76-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.