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2004-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento State Hornets Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 14.7% 85.3% -
Bradley-Terry 17.9% 82.1% -
Margin 9.3% 90.7% +12.5 (5.5 off)

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +18 (72-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bausley 33 3-15 1-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 7 -2 -
J. Harris 32 5-12 0-1 3-5 5 0 1 0 7 13 0 -
S. McKay 32 2-11 0-2 2-2 5 1 3 1 2 6 3 -
A. Perry 19 2-3 2-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 6 3 -
D. Roberts 12 2-5 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
D. Freeman 12 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
Z. Beekman 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
R. Adams 11 3-5 0-0 0-1 8 0 3 0 0 6 12 -
J. Gilzene 7 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Morris 30 5-9 3-7 3-4 1 2 1 0 0 16 11 -
M. Al-Sayyad 29 8-10 0-0 6-7 11 1 1 4 4 22 25 -
D. White 28 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 0 4 -
C. Berry 25 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 0 3 3 3 -
J. Coleman 24 5-9 0-2 4-6 6 3 2 0 5 14 11 -
H. Hernandez 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
D. O'Neil 18 2-7 0-2 0-1 3 2 1 1 1 4 3 -
C. Ross 12 1-3 0-2 6-6 1 1 0 0 5 8 2 -
Jack Marlow 9 0-0 0-0 1-4 2 1 0 1 1 1 4 -
D. Brower 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Brazelton 2 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter