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2004-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 20.0% 80.0% -
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.3 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 61.2% 38.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.0% 89.0% -
Log Adjusted 10.7% 89.3% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +25 (87-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Davis 35 6-13 0-0 0-2 8 2 0 0 6 12 3 -
M. Dlouhy 28 3-4 2-3 1-4 4 0 0 0 3 9 6 -
M. Martin 26 3-8 1-5 2-3 2 2 1 0 1 9 5 -
K. Criswell 26 4-11 1-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 9 2 -
L. Farr 21 2-7 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 5 -2 -
A. Strait 19 0-5 0-0 2-2 8 1 1 0 0 2 7 -
V. Matthews 12 2-3 1-1 2-3 1 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
C. McKay 11 1-4 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 3 1 2 6 -
C. Easley 9 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Seyfert 7 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Lynch 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Evans * 28 3-9 0-4 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 8 6 -
J. McKinney * 28 4-11 1-6 2-3 3 2 1 0 1 11 5 -
K. Young * 26 2-5 0-0 2-5 8 0 1 2 1 6 11 -
L. Kleiza * 24 9-15 4-6 4-5 2 0 0 0 3 26 10 -
Jason Conley * 17 4-8 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
J. Horton 27 3-3 2-2 0-1 4 5 1 0 0 8 15 -
M. Brown 18 0-4 0-2 1-1 1 2 2 0 1 1 1 -
G. Dandridge 16 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 7 2 -
K. Grimes 14 5-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 4 0 12 12 -
B. Dailey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter