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2004-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 25.1% 74.9% -
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wright 38 9-17 6-12 7-8 3 1 0 1 1 31 18 -
R. Vaden 32 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
D.J. White 28 3-9 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 8 3 -
P. Ewing Jr. 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 0 1 3 8 -
M. Strickland 15 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 4 4 1 -
M. Johnson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 0 4 -
A.J. Ratliff 12 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
J. Hardy 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
Mike Roberts 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Tapak 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Kline 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -3 -
E. Suhr 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Wilmont 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sparks * 34 3-11 2-6 8-8 1 6 2 0 2 16 12 -
C. Hayes * 31 5-8 0-0 4-6 9 2 1 0 1 14 17 -
M. Kennedy * 30 2-9 1-3 2-2 5 4 2 1 1 7 9 -
R. Morris * 19 5-7 0-0 1-4 3 1 1 2 0 11 11 -
R. Rondo * 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
M. Adetula 21 4-5 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 4 2 10 14 -
J. Crawford 16 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
B. Perry 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 5 -
J. Carrier 13 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 5 -
R. Bradley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter