Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +5 (52-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.