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2004-12-09

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 (14.3 off)

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -11 (51-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Markwood 36 1-6 0-2 4-5 1 7 0 0 4 6 4 -
D. Dubois 34 3-4 0-0 4-6 6 0 2 1 1 10 14 -
J. Campbell 32 3-5 0-1 6-6 6 0 2 1 1 12 15 -
K. Reed 25 5-11 2-6 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 12 9 -
M. Flavin 22 1-9 0-2 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 3 -4 -
J. Jackson 18 4-12 2-8 2-2 4 0 3 0 1 12 6 -
C. Bruff 15 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
E. Turner 14 1-5 1-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 3 -1 -
O. Ahvenniemi 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Gogerty 34 5-8 0-1 1-2 3 6 0 0 2 11 10 -
A. Feeley 31 4-8 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 3 1 9 15 -
C. Gaskin 28 4-8 0-0 6-7 3 1 3 0 2 14 11 -
C. Pugh 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
M. Knight 20 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 8 -1 -
R. Bilal 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -4 -
B. Hodges 15 0-4 0-3 4-4 3 0 2 2 2 4 5 -
M. Housman 14 0-0 0-0 0-3 4 0 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. Zito 12 0-1 0-0 1-4 2 2 1 0 2 1 3 -
S. Davis 5 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter