Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Oppland | 41 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| J. Loyd | 35 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -3 | - |
| J. Miles | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| S. Colclasure | 32 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Harris | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Howard | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Huff | 19 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Mbaye | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Daanish | 44 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Moss | 44 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 28 | - |
| J. Adler | 40 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| T. Schnitker | 39 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| E. Gray | 31 | 1-15 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -8 | - |
| G. Moore | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| L. Whitman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Evans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter