Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +34 (86-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Archibeque | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. Taibi | 29 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| S. Nolen | 26 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Randle | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Kline | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| E. Olson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Gordy | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lewis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Steward | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Panagiotakopoulos | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Brockman | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Chiotti | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| D. Granger | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 27 | - |
| T. DeVries | 24 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Collins | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Walters | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Neale | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| T. Danridge | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Prentice | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Osby | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Phaler | 8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| R. Wall | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Hart | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Walter | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter