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2004-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 35.9% 64.1% -
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% -
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 71.4% 28.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.7% 11.3% -
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -22 (53-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Kampman 28 7-12 5-9 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 23 14 -
P. Miller 26 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 8 5 -
J. Howard 25 1-6 0-1 2-4 7 1 1 1 2 4 6 -
A. Liberty 24 1-2 1-2 0-1 1 4 1 0 0 3 7 -
R. Burns 23 6-12 3-8 2-2 6 1 0 0 4 17 8 -
K. Wilson 20 2-7 0-3 2-2 6 0 2 1 1 6 7 -
P.J. Couisnard 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 4 8 -
S. Ogirri 18 0-2 0-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 2 6 -
M. Braeuer 14 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 6 -2 -
Z. Green 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Ledford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Rogers 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Brooks 31 1-3 0-0 4-4 3 3 0 0 2 6 7 -
P. Eggers 28 2-8 2-4 9-12 1 0 1 0 3 15 6 -
K. Korver 28 2-6 1-5 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 5 2 -
L. Randolph 27 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 6 1 1 2 4 7 -
N. Works 25 4-9 0-0 3-6 8 0 0 1 2 11 9 -
Nate Richie 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
S. Tracy 15 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 1 4 1 0 2 10 -
B. Heemskerk 14 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 0 -
D. Bancroft 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
C. Bryant 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Powell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Houston 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
A. Emmenecker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter