Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark | 35 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Karl | 33 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Thompson | 27 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| K. Johnson | 27 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Ellis | 26 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| T. Banks | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Lloyd | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kenney Gainous | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Robinson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hall | 38 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 22 | - |
| J. Jensen | 25 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| A. Ainge | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| M. Rose | 23 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| K. Young | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Balderson | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Nashif | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| D. Dawes | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Meads | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| C. Miles | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter