Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +28.9 | ✓ (15.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +13 (75-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jones | 28 | 5-18 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -2 | - |
| D. Thompson | 28 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Jackson | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. Frazier | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| P. Horton | 20 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| J. Wyatt | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| F. Cole | 16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Chandler | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Landfair | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Roberts | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ray Dotson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Jackson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Kendrick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Alexander | 31 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Vince Greene | 30 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Lorenzo Gordon | 29 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| N. Plank | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Guidry | 19 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| K. Ford | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Ford | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter