Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.3% | 18.7% | -8.1 | ✗ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tatum | 31 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Darren Brooks | 31 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Hairston | 28 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -8 | - |
| L. Owen | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Young | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Josh Warren | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| R. Falker | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Shaw | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Dale | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Foster | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Freeman | 32 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Z. Graber | 31 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Richard Hardman | 30 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| C. Willis | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Darius Eason | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Jacobs | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Z. Wright | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| E. Muldrow | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter