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2004-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 60.6% 39.4% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% -
Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Log Adjusted 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers -10 (52-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Payne * 35 7-13 0-2 6-6 3 5 3 0 3 20 15 -
O. Famutimi * 28 4-10 0-1 0-0 8 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
C. Thomas * 24 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
D. Jefferson * 20 0-4 0-2 6-8 5 2 1 0 1 6 9 -
S. Hill * 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 4 1 2 6 -
R. Sullivan 24 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 2 2 3 11 -
E. Ferguson 24 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 5 2 0 4 7 5 -
D. Townes 14 3-4 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 1 2 7 5 -
J. Modica 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 3 3 2 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Evans * 34 2-10 0-5 0-0 5 1 3 0 1 4 2 -
L. Kleiza * 31 6-16 0-2 2-5 11 2 0 0 5 14 6 -
J. McKinney * 26 1-8 1-4 1-2 2 0 2 0 5 4 -5 -
Jason Conley * 24 2-6 0-3 4-4 3 0 3 0 3 8 5 -
K. Young * 21 0-1 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 3 7 -
J. Horton 35 0-7 0-2 4-9 2 6 4 0 2 4 7 -
M. Brown 19 4-7 2-3 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 10 7 -
K. Grimes 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 5 5 -
S. Laurie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter