Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.5% | 29.5% | -4.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sheets | 33 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 3 | - |
| B. Horan | 33 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| B. Polk | 31 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Graves | 31 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| B. Crone | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Brooks | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Smalligan | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Streicher | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Patterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sommerville | 38 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 12 | - |
| T. Bennett | 36 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 35 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J. Crouch | 31 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| P. O'Bryant | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| L. Wright | 16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Tauai | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Adams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter