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2004-12-07

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 24.5% 75.5% -
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.6% 63.4% -
Efficiency 66.1% 33.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% -
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +25 (78-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jefferson 34 2-10 0-3 3-4 3 1 2 0 2 7 1 -
M. Moss 31 5-14 0-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 10 3 -
L. Ball 29 4-7 2-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 2 10 11 -
B. Miller 26 2-10 1-7 0-0 2 4 3 0 2 5 2 -
M. Towsley 22 1-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 2 -2 -
C. Durham 18 4-5 3-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 11 4 -
T. Pratt 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
D. Woodall 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
R. Holmes 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Durr 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 23 4-7 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 0 4 11 8 -
M. Morris 22 3-4 2-2 2-2 0 1 1 1 1 10 8 -
J. Rakiecki 21 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 8 9 -
S. Verwers 21 2-5 0-0 2-5 11 1 0 1 1 6 13 -
A. Patterson 21 4-7 4-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 12 10 -
S. Arthur-Williams 21 3-5 1-2 3-3 2 2 1 0 1 10 9 -
S. Creason 17 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 4 3 -1 -
M. Nelson 15 2-2 0-0 6-8 3 2 0 2 1 10 14 -
P. Thomasson 14 2-2 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
J. Smith 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 3 -
N. Ball 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
B. Lohrey 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter