Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +25 (78-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jefferson | 34 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Moss | 31 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| L. Ball | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Miller | 26 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| M. Towsley | 22 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Durham | 18 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Pratt | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Woodall | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Holmes | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Durr | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Morris | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. Rakiecki | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| S. Verwers | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| A. Patterson | 21 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Arthur-Williams | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Creason | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Nelson | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| P. Thomasson | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| N. Ball | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Lohrey | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter