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2004-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 40.1% 59.9% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 (10.6 off)

Actual: Idaho State Bengals -9 (73-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 35 6-13 3-7 9-10 0 4 1 0 3 24 13 -
D. Cooper 35 3-11 1-5 6-7 1 4 1 0 1 13 7 -
D. Wilson 32 3-5 1-2 5-5 6 3 2 0 1 12 17 -
M. Lewis 25 4-5 0-0 0-3 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
B. Sullivan 24 5-8 0-1 3-3 9 1 2 0 3 13 14 -
D. Vance 15 1-5 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 1 2 5 9 -
A. Gahlmann 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 4 5 -
K. Aaker 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Dominguez 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 0 2 -
B. Averette 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Lewis 35 5-9 5-9 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 15 13 -
J. Gardner 34 4-10 3-8 8-9 1 4 0 0 4 19 10 -
D. D'Amore 27 1-9 0-5 4-4 2 2 0 1 1 6 1 -
K. Stevens 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 2 1 -
J. Smith 24 2-8 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 2 2 6 0 -
L. Kinghorn 19 5-5 3-3 2-4 2 3 1 0 1 15 15 -
A. Millien 16 3-4 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 3 6 5 -
D. Hardy 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
N. Rhodes 7 0-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
N. Rede 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter