Model Predictions
| Model | Hartford Hawks | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.4% | 88.6% | +11.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Hartford Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Cook | 36 | 5-18 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C. Ford | 33 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Ruffin | 31 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Goode | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Regan | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Rembert | 18 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| B. Taylor | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Lowndes | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Lalor | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Zimnickas | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Glowiak | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ruscoe | 40 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 6-8 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 26 | - |
| J. Forte | 38 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 12-18 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| M. Becker | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. McAndrew | 23 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Huffman | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. MacDonald | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| P.J. Flaherty | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Coulibaly | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Jeppesen | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Manhanga | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Nordrum | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter