Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.7% | 91.3% | +12.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +20 (70-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.