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2004-12-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% -
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% -
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +11.0 (21.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 82.7% 17.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.4% 22.6% -
Log Adjusted 77.7% 22.3% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dudley * 38 2-8 0-1 4-6 10 2 1 0 4 8 9 -
S. Marshall * 32 4-11 1-2 4-4 3 1 0 0 3 13 3 -
N. Doornekamp * 29 2-6 0-1 3-3 5 2 0 1 3 7 6 -
C. Smith * 29 9-14 0-2 2-3 7 0 0 0 4 20 9 -
S. Hailey 32 3-6 1-2 6-9 4 4 1 0 5 13 11 -
S. Williams 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 6 1 2 10 -
J. Watson 17 3-7 0-0 5-5 3 1 0 0 2 11 6 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Farmar * 36 3-11 0-3 8-8 0 4 1 0 5 14 3 -
A. Afflalo * 30 4-10 1-5 2-4 3 3 2 0 3 11 6 -
D. Thompson * 27 5-13 1-4 1-1 6 2 1 2 6 12 4 -
R. Hollins * 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 -
M. Fey * 17 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 0 2 5 5 -
L. Mata-Real 18 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Shipp 18 5-8 2-4 1-3 4 2 3 0 2 13 12 -
Brian Morrison 16 1-7 1-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 -3 -
M. McKinney 10 0-1 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Rubin 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter