Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.6% | 59.4% | +2.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ervin * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shane Power * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Roberts * | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. Frazier * | 29 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 10 | - |
| M. Campbell * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| O. Harper | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Slater | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| W. Morgan | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Edmondson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Frye * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 27 | - |
| S. Stoudamire * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| M. Shakur * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| H. Adams * | 30 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9 | - |
| I. Fox * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| J. McClellan | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| C. Rodgers | 16 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| B. Brielmaier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Verdejo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter