Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.2% | 3.8% | -17.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons -32 (61-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ewing * | 32 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Redick * | 31 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 17 | - |
| S. Williams * | 26 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| S. Dockery * | 24 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| S. Randolph * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Nelson | 24 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 4-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. McClure | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Melchionni | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Love | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| P. Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Davidson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Pagliuca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Oppland * | 34 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| J. Loyd * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Miles * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| R. Howard * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Harris * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Huff | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Mbaye | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| V. Humphrey | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A. Williams | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Colclasure | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mullen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hooper | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kent | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter