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Texas State Bobcats 57
@
SMU Mustangs 74
2004-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 ✓ (6.0 off)
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% - ✓

Actual: SMU Mustangs +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Naylor 33 3-7 3-7 2-3 2 3 1 0 1 11 9 -
B. Brickens 31 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 3 7 0 -
C. Langhorne 29 1-9 1-4 2-6 6 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Turner 28 4-10 0-2 4-6 4 1 0 0 2 12 5 -
A. Dill 24 4-10 0-0 2-4 1 0 1 0 2 10 0 -
C. Stoermer 14 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
L. Burroughs 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Canady 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Adams 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
E. Patterson 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
T. Broussard 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hopkins 34 5-11 5-10 1-2 1 7 0 0 5 16 8 -
P. Simpson 34 5-10 0-0 6-8 5 1 1 2 2 16 13 -
J. Isham 32 3-7 0-1 7-8 4 4 2 0 1 13 15 -
D. Roberts 27 4-5 0-1 0-0 10 2 0 1 1 8 15 -
E. Castro 26 8-9 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 3 16 15 -
D. Pearson 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
J. Knowles 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 1 5 -
J. Killen 6 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
I. Ofoegbu 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter