Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -10 (55-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Maxiell * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| E. Hicks * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Kirkland * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| J. White * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Muhammad * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| N. Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Bright | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lucas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plummer * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Jones * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| W. Williams * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Scott * | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Roberts | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Meacham | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Binnie | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Bennett | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Stafford | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter