Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -10 (55-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Maxiell * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| E. Hicks * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Kirkland * | 34 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| J. White * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Muhammad * | 30 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| N. Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Bright | 10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| C. Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Lucas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plummer * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| M. Jones * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| W. Williams * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Scott * | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Roberts | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Meacham | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Binnie | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Bennett | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Stafford | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter