Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -1 (59-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.