Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -5 (64-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Golob | 35 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| K. Feuerbach | 34 | 7-10 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| D. Stevens | 30 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| K. Landry | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| S. Garnett | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| W. Hensley | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Hill | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Hooks | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Abdelsamad | 37 | 4-13 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | - |
| R. Marentez | 32 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 11 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 32 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| R. Moore | 28 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Stearns | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Carlyle | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Ehsan | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Butts | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Schwarz | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter