Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +16 (50-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.