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2004-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% - โœ“
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 โœ“ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.2% 58.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.3% 41.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +11 (98-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Copeland * 30 5-7 1-2 4-4 5 1 1 2 3 15 14 -
J. Ashby * 30 5-10 0-0 4-7 6 2 3 1 3 14 13 -
R. Roby * 27 4-7 1-1 1-2 4 3 1 1 5 10 7 -
J. Obazuaye * 27 5-10 3-4 2-4 3 3 0 0 5 15 6 -
G. Eddy * 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
M. Hall 35 12-16 2-4 3-4 3 4 2 0 4 29 18 -
M. Freeman 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
L. Arrington 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 1 1 2 6 -
A. McGee 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. King-Stockton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Stephens * 36 11-20 3-8 2-2 4 3 0 0 4 27 10 -
J.S. Nash * 33 3-6 0-0 7-9 4 5 4 0 1 13 19 -
S. Cuic * 28 7-9 1-2 7-7 5 2 1 0 1 22 20 -
M. Jones * 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
K. Jeffers * 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 6 4 -
J. Fontenet 29 5-9 4-6 6-6 1 2 1 0 5 20 10 -
H. Brown 19 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 3 2 2 6 -
A. Weathers 13 1-2 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
V. Remmers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Derek Potter 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter